Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.052163 0.056609 0.061108 0.065993 0.071141 0.076398 0.082165
2025-04-13 0.046078 0.052677 0.059585 0.067328 0.075739 0.084573 0.094526
2025-04-20 0.039983 0.047972 0.056600 0.066547 0.077640 0.089570 0.103313
2025-04-27 0.035771 0.044843 0.054914 0.066816 0.080388 0.095278 0.112742
2025-05-04 0.032889 0.042888 0.054267 0.068006 0.083973 0.101785 0.122991
2025-05-11 0.030984 0.041856 0.054502 0.070055 0.088428 0.109210 0.134262
2025-05-18 0.027019 0.038032 0.051168 0.067668 0.087513 0.110308 0.138156
2025-05-25 0.024533 0.035827 0.049603 0.067223 0.088747 0.113789 0.144726
2025-06-01 0.022362 0.033854 0.048175 0.066812 0.089908 0.117102 0.151042
2025-06-08 0.021527 0.033539 0.048766 0.068849 0.094015 0.123916 0.161522
2025-06-15 0.020459 0.032830 0.048786 0.070118 0.097144 0.129543 0.170599
2025-06-22 0.019285 0.031893 0.048442 0.070866 0.099587 0.134319 0.178655
2025-06-29 0.017761 0.030411 0.047348 0.070649 0.100856 0.137737 0.185194
2025-07-06 0.017046 0.030028 0.047694 0.072294 0.104491 0.144099 0.195383
2025-07-13 0.015562 0.028434 0.046315 0.071596 0.105078 0.146650 0.200887
2025-07-20 0.014552 0.027473 0.045752 0.071939 0.106979 0.150831 0.208412
2025-07-27 0.013926 0.027047 0.045903 0.073222 0.110091 0.156539 0.217856
2025-08-03 0.013618 0.027090 0.046707 0.075393 0.114383 0.163769 0.229248
2025-08-10 0.011965 0.024896 0.044190 0.072889 0.112399 0.162931 0.230453
2025-08-17 0.011015 0.023770 0.043173 0.072425 0.113099 0.165510 0.235959
2025-08-24 0.010147 0.022716 0.042212 0.071994 0.113807 0.168076 0.241442
2025-08-31 0.009985 0.022854 0.043048 0.074140 0.118040 0.175258 0.252867
2025-09-07 0.009634 0.022640 0.043329 0.075475 0.121163 0.181002 0.262476